Zwickau vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
BSV
5 - 0
ZWI
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
ZWI
0 - 1
SGD
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MAG
3 - 0
ZWI
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
ZWI
0 - 1
ERF
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZWI
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
CHE
5 - 3
HAL
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
BSV
2 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
SGD
3 - 4
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
CZJ
2 - 1
CHE
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |