Zwickau vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 1
ZWI
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
0 - 1
FVF
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
ZWI
3 - 0
CHL
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
BFC
1 - 1
ZWI
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
CHL
0 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 1
BFC
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
MAG
4 - 1
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |