Zwickau vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
1.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
ZWI
5 - 3
BWA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
LOK
1 - 0
ZWI
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ZWI
0 - 2
ERF
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CHE
2 - 4
ZWI
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ROS
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
CHE
1 - 3
BFC
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
ABS
0 - 0
CHE
95%
4%
1%
|
37 | 82 | 45 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
HAN
0 - 0
CHE
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CHE
2 - 4
ZWI
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BAB
1 - 2
CHE
96%
3%
1%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | +1 |