Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Zwickau vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
CHE
5 - 2
ZWI
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
ZWI
1 - 2
BWA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 1
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
MAG
3 - 1
ZWI
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CHL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 1
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
CEL
4 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |