Zwickau vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 0
ZWI
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CZJ
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
ZWI
0 - 0
BFC
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
BCB
2 - 2
ZWI
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
ZWI
1 - 2
MAG
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
BWA
1 - 0
FVF
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
BWA
1 - 1
SGD
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
BWA
1 - 0
CZJ
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
BFC
3 - 0
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
BWA
2 - 1
BCB
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |