Zwickau vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
CEL
1 - 1
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
MAG
3 - 1
ZWI
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CHL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
SGD
3 - 0
ZWI
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
COT
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BWA
1 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
LOK
1 - 0
BWA
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
BWA
3 - 0
BSG
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
HAL
1 - 1
BWA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |