Zwickau vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SGD
3 - 0
ZWI
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BFM
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LOK
0 - 1
ZWI
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ZWI
1 - 2
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LAS
1 - 1
ZWI
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BWA
1 - 2
SGD
54%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BFM
3 - 3
BWA
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BWA
6 - 2
LOK
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
HAL
5 - 1
BWA
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BWA
4 - 0
LAS
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |