Zwickau vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1975 |
VOR
4 - 1
ZWI
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1975 |
ZWI
4 - 1
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
HAL
2 - 1
ZWI
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
ZWI
1 - 1
LOK
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1975 |
BSG
2 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1975 |
MAG
1 - 0
BSG
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
BSG
2 - 0
CZJ
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
FVF
3 - 0
BSG
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
SGD
2 - 0
BSG
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |