Zwickau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
ZWI
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ZWI
5 - 1
LUC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ZWI
4 - 0
DYN
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ZWI
1 - 1
LOK
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 6
ZWI
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 1
BUD
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
AUE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 1
AUE
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUE
0 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 0
AUE
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |