Zwickau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
MEU
6 - 0
ZWI
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
ZWI
0 - 2
SAC
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
ZWI
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ZWI
0 - 3
EIL
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ZWI
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
AUE
3 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
AUE
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AUE
1 - 1
PLA
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
GER
2 - 0
AUE
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AUE
0 - 1
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |