Zwickau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
POS
1 - 1
ZWI
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
ZWI
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 3
CZJ
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ZWI
0 - 1
DRE
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ZWI
1 - 0
OBE
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 1
DRE
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAG
3 - 0
AUE
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
AUE
2 - 3
OBE
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
AUE
1 - 2
DRE
26%
24%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |