Zwettl vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
OST
1 - 1
ZWE
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 2
SVH
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
FCW
5 - 0
ZWE
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 3
SCH
36%
26%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
NEU
3 - 1
ZWE
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIE
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WIE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAU
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
22%
24%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +5 |