Zwaluwen vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
5º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 4
ZWA
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZWA
0 - 1
ASW
28%
24%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZWA
0 - 6
WES
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RVV
4 - 0
ZWA
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZWA
2 - 1
LRC
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
POO
1 - 2
RVV
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LRC
1 - 0
POO
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POO
2 - 0
NIE
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RKA
2 - 2
POO
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POO
1 - 1
SMI
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |