Zvijezda vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
GOS
1 - 0
ZVI
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BBL
3 - 0
ZVI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 2
ZVI
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
SAR
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 1
ZVI
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 0
BBL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
ZEL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
ZEL
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZEL
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |