Zvijezda vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 0
ZVI
57%
25%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 0
ZRI
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ZVI
3 - 1
ORA
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VEL
5 - 3
ZVI
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 1
ZRI
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ČEL
0 - 1
ZEL
42%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ZEL
2 - 1
TRA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SIR
3 - 1
ZEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |