Zvijezda vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 1
ZVI
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ZVI
0 - 2
OSA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
1 - 3
ZVI
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ZVI
4 - 1
RUD
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ČEL
4 - 1
ZVI
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
BBL
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
VEL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
SIR
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GOS
0 - 1
VEL
33%
29%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |