Zvijezda vs Travnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
3 - 0
ZVI
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
ZVI
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ZVI
0 - 1
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ZVI
3 - 2
ZRI
39%
24%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
ZVI
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
BBL
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 0
GOS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SIR
5 - 0
TRA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
LEO
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VEL
6 - 0
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |