Zvijezda vs TOSK Tesanj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KRU
2 - 0
ZVI
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
ZVI
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
ZVI
0 - 4
KRU
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ZVI
0 - 0
OSA
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
JED
1 - 0
ZVI
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
TOSK Tesanj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TOS
0 - 0
MET
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 0
TOS
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TOS
2 - 0
IGM
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ČAP
2 - 0
TOS
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOS
1 - 1
VEL
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |