Zvijezda vs Radnik Hadžići analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
14º
12º
6
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
8 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 50 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 43 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 40 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 37 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 33 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 17 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
ZVI
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
JED
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
0 - 1
GRD
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 4
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Radnik Hadžići
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
RAD
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
ČEL
15%
24%
61%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 1
RAD
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
RAD
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
TOS
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |