Zvijezda vs Orasje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
VEL
5 - 3
ZVI
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 1
ZRI
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZVI
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 2
ČEL
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 1
ZVI
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orasje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ORA
3 - 2
ZRI
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ČEL
1 - 0
ORA
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ORA
2 - 1
SLA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
POS
1 - 2
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ORA
2 - 1
ZEL
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |