Zvijezda vs NK Podgrmec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
JED
1 - 0
ZVI
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZVI
3 - 1
RUD
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 1
ZVI
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ZVI
1 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
ZVI
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Podgrmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
POD
1 - 1
MET
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 1
POD
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
POD
1 - 0
GOR
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ČAP
2 - 0
POD
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
POD
0 - 0
GOS
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |