Zvijezda vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SIR
6 - 0
ZVI
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ZVI
0 - 0
SLA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ZRI
3 - 0
ZVI
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ZVI
1 - 0
RAD
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ZEL
1 - 0
ZVI
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
RUD
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 0
LEO
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 4
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MLA
2 - 0
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 2
OSA
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |