Zvijezda vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
ZEL
2 - 0
ZVI
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ZVI
2 - 1
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
TRA
4 - 1
ZVI
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ZVI
1 - 1
SIR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ČEL
4 - 2
ZVI
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 1
OSA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
RUD
1 - 1
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 3
ZEL
30%
28%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SLA
2 - 0
LEO
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 3
ZRI
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |