Zvijezda vs Kozara Gradiška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 2
ZVI
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ZVI
4 - 2
SLA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
ZVI
53%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ZVI
0 - 0
GOS
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ZVI
0 - 0
BBL
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kozara Gradiška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KOZ
0 - 2
ZEL
18%
27%
55%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OSA
2 - 0
KOZ
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KOZ
0 - 0
ZRI
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 0
KOZ
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KOZ
1 - 0
RUD
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |