Zvijezda vs Gradina Srebrenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
13º
9º
10
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 57 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 54 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 43 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 27 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 4
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 2
ČEL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
ZVI
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
GOR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 3
ZVI
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Gradina Srebrenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 2
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JED
1 - 3
GRD
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 4
TMS
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ČEL
1 - 1
GRD
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GRD
2 - 4
GOR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |