Zvijezda vs Goražde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
14º
12º
18
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
21 | 60 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 58 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
ZVI
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
JED
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
0 - 1
GRD
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 4
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Goražde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
NSO
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
GOR
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
SLO
17%
23%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |