Zvijezda vs Goražde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ČAP
4 - 0
ZVI
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ZVI
2 - 0
GOS
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
BUD
0 - 1
ZVI
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ZVI
2 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ORA
2 - 0
ZVI
29%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Goražde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GOR
0 - 3
MET
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 2
GOR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
GOR
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GOR
1 - 0
ČAP
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 0
GOR
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |