Zvijezda vs FK Modrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZVI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ZVI
1 - 1
BBL
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RUD
3 - 0
ZVI
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 1
ZEL
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 0
ZVI
57%
25%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Modrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 4
SIR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ČEL
1 - 0
MOD
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 1
LEO
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LAK
1 - 1
MOD
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |