Zvijezda 09 vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
40
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SAR
11%
21%
68%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
POS
2 - 0
ZBE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZBE
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ZBE
0 - 1
RSM
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 0
SAR
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 0
ZEL
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 0
RUD
82%
13%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 0
ZRI
30%
28%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
HRV
82%
14%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |