Zvijezda 09 vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
40
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZBE
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ZBE
2 - 2
IGM
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZBE
3 - 2
SLO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZBE
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
IGM
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 2
ZEL
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
ZEL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |