Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZBE
1 - 1
KOZ
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZBE
6 - 0
FBP
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 1
ZBE
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ZBE
1 - 0
BZD
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ZEL
1 - 1
ZBE
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POS
2 - 4
VEL
32%
29%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 1
VEL
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 3
BBL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZEL
0 - 0
VEL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
ZRI
2 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |