Zvijezda 09 vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
39
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 2
BBL
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
2 - 1
ZRI
10%
22%
67%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZBE
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 2
GOS
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
ZBE
59%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 2
ZRI
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
SIR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 0
SIR
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
SIR
8%
17%
76%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 2
VEL
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |