Zvijezda 09 vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
POS
2 - 0
ZBE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZBE
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ZBE
0 - 1
RSM
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
ZBE
70%
17%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 0
SIR
19%
26%
56%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 3
SIR
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
SAR
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 3
MAK
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
RYV
0 - 2
SAR
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |