Zvijezda 09 vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
46
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZBE
73%
19%
8%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
4 - 2
ZBE
82%
14%
4%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
5 - 3
ZBE
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 0
ZBE
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POS
4 - 0
SLO
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 1
POS
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POS
1 - 0
ZEL
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |