Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Spartak Kostroma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
11º
11º
38
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 16 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda St. Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
ZSP
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ZSP
2 - 2
TEK
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ZSP
5 - 2
DVO
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZSP
2 - 3
MUR
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZSP
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Spartak Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 2
FKL
16%
24%
60%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FYK
1 - 2
SPA
33%
23%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
ZOR
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
0 - 2
SPA
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZSP
16%
24%
60%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +4 |