Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
11º
11º
40
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 16 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda St. Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZSP
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZSP
0 - 1
TOR
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ZSP
0 - 2
OLY
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
KAM
1 - 2
ZSP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FBK
0 - 1
ZSP
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Murom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
LUK
71%
19%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 1
MUR
68%
19%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
MUR
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TEK
2 - 0
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
MUR
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |