Zvezda Irkutsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
SKA
1 - 0
ZIR
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
SKA
2 - 1
ZIR
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SAL
2 - 1
ZIR
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
ZIR
0 - 1
DIN
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ZIR
0 - 1
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
SIB
0 - 0
SKA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
SIB
1 - 1
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
0 - 0
SIB
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
AVA
0 - 1
SIB
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
SIB
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |