Zvezda Irkutsk vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
ZIR
1 - 2
SKA
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 3
ZIR
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
FCR
2 - 0
ZIR
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ZIR
1 - 2
BAL
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
ZIR
2 - 0
TOR
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHE
4 - 0
DIN
54%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
FCR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 0
DIN
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |