Zurrieq FC vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
16º
5º
14
9º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurrieq FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 2
ATT
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUN
1 - 4
ZUR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 1
TAR
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 4
NAX
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MTA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 1
TAR
24%
22%
53%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LIJ
0 - 0
MTA
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MTA
0 - 0
MEL
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |