Zurich vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
4º
4º
4
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
10 | 41 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 38 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 22 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SHE
67%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YVE
0 - 2
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
4 - 0
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
THU
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ZUR
5 - 4
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
SCA
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
5 - 0
YFJ
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KUF
0 - 4
WIN
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
EBT
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |