Zurich vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GLA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
GLA
1 - 1
ZUR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 3
ZUR
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 1
NEX
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
YOB
5 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
BAS
6 - 1
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |