Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 5
ZUR
6%
14%
80%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 2
SCP
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCL
3 - 1
ZUR
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
YOB
2 - 3
ZUR
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BYM
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 5
THU
7%
15%
78%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 3
SIO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
STO
4 - 1
THU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
YOB
0 - 2
THU
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |