Zurich vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
7º
7º
32
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 58 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
64% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 0
ZUR
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
4 - 1
ZUR
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
STG
1 - 4
VIT
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
STG
10%
17%
73%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 1
STG
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
TSC
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |