Zurich vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
CSC
3 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LAU
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
STG
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
STG
3 - 0
SIO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
SER
4 - 1
STG
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
CSC
0 - 0
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
STG
0 - 0
ETO
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |