Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Zurich vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MFF
1 - 1
ZUR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
0 - 0
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
1 - 0
AND
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
AND
3 - 2
ZUR
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
CDM
1 - 4
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
6 - 0
FAB
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |