Zurich vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
10º
8º
58
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 0
ZUR
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
46%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 1
BOG
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 4
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WOH
2 - 5
SER
5%
11%
84%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
YOB
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 3
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |