Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
5º
4º
11
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 35 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 23 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
79% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 2
ZUR
5%
14%
81%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 3
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
YOB
2 - 2
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 4
FCL
4%
12%
85%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCL
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |