Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GCZ
2 - 0
ZUR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 3
LAU
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |