Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
YOB
2 - 3
ZUR
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |