Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VEV
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
3 - 2
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
1 - 1
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
FCW
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
FCW
3 - 2
FCL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
31%
26%
44%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
5 - 1
VEV
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |